Why transformative artificial intelligence is really, really hard to achieve

On the surface, it’s hard not to be impressed by recent advances in artificial intelligence. One of the key questions is whether progress will only ever accelerate, of if we’ll soon see AI’s capabilities plateau. This is an excellent summary article of the best arguments why truly transformative AI will be harder to achieve than many enthusiasts think. Comes with this wonderful quote: «It was like claiming that the first monkey that climbed a tree was making progress towards landing on the moon.»