¨

How Our 2018 World Cup Predictions Work

FiveThirtyEight

Love or hate those World Cup predictions – I, for one, love them when they have a solid methodology behind them. Here’s FiveThirtyEight’s comprehensive (yet still easy to understand) description of how they predict not just the World Cup (yay, 2% chance of Switzerland winning the title), but individual matches. The most fascinating part: how they adjust the odds during live matches.



The Weekly Filet brings you the best of the web right into your inbox. Intriguing articles, stunning photographs, telling visualisations, excellent songs, smart videos. 5 recommended links, every Friday, free home-delivery. Brought to you by journalist David Bauer. Learn more.