The Weekly Filet brings you the five best links of the week, every Friday. Making sense of the big issues of our time (with a healthy dose of serendipity and nerdiness). Curated by journalist David Bauer.
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How Our 2018 World Cup Predictions Work

FiveThirtyEight

Love or hate those World Cup predictions โ€“ I, for one, love them when they have a solid methodology behind them. Here’s FiveThirtyEight’s comprehensive (yet still easy to understand) description of how they predict not just the World Cup (yay, 2% chance of Switzerland winning the title), but individual matches. The most fascinating part: how they adjust the odds during live matches.


Published in Weekly Filet #276, in June 2018. More on: #, #, #

๐Ÿ’” Some older links might be broken โ€” that's the state of the web, sadly. If you find one, ping me.

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