How to See The Future Like a Superforecaster
I donโt think you need to become a superforecaster. However, knowing how to make good guesstimates is a valuable skill, and this article has some good rules to follow.

From Weekly Filet #342, in April 2021.
๐ Some older links might be broken โ that's the state of the web, sadly. If you find one, ping me.