Predicting the future is possible

Predicting the future is possible

Nobody can predict the future with certainty, but some people are clearly better at making reasonable predictions than others. How do they do it? A conversation between two people who have both greatly inspired me this year with their books — Julia Galef (author of The Scout Mindset) talks to Philip Tetlock (author of Superforecasting). Don’t be confused that the link points to Ezra Klein’s podcast — Ezra is off and has passed the mic to a couple of guest hosts.

From Weekly Filet #375, in December 2021.

💔 Some older links might be broken — that's the state of the web, sadly. If you find one, ping me.

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