Predicting the future is possible

Nobody can predict the future with certainty, but some people are clearly better at making reasonable predictions than others. How do they do it? A conversation between two people who have both greatly inspired me this year with their books — Julia Galef (author of The Scout Mindset) talks to Philip Tetlock (author of Superforecasting). Don’t be confused that the link points to Ezra Klein’s podcast — Ezra is off and has passed the mic to a couple of guest hosts.