Love or hate those World Cup predictions – I, for one, love them when they have a solid methodology behind them. Here’s FiveThirtyEight’s comprehensive (yet still easy to understand) description of how they predict not just the World Cup (yay, 2% chance of Switzerland winning the title), but individual matches. The most fascinating part: how they adjust the odds during live matches.
From Weekly Filet #276, in June 2018.
🔗
So this turned out a lot more interesting than I had anticipated. If your opponents fear you as the best baseball player of all time, do you even need a bat to be successful? Love the idea behind this thought experiment and the thoroughness of the simulation. Oh, and the results.
From Weekly Filet #258, in December 2017.
🔗
Thousands of curious minds trust the Weekly Filet for food for thought. Every Friday, carefully curated recommendations on what to read, watch and listen to. Helping you make sense of the world and yourself.
Undecided? Learn more | Peek inside