Gradually, then Suddenly: Upon the Threshold

Thresholds are a good way of making sense of technological change. These moments when a technology makes a leap from barely useable to surprisingly good. AI has, undeniably, passed lots of thresholds in the past year. But here’s the catch: Unlike with other technologies, it is hard to measure when an AI crosses a threshold. Here’s where the idea of the «impossibility list» comes into play…